Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 218.841559 246.023934 276.076553 311.909106 353.653951 400.972248 458.979600
2025-03-16 174.317925 209.339628 251.389478 306.150313 376.395424 464.601765 585.548380
2025-03-23 151.891037 190.468706 239.398158 307.077554 399.981254 525.646662 713.135552
2025-03-30 133.549020 173.037459 225.264354 300.980914 410.682403 568.354027 820.883173
2025-04-06 121.005291 161.204056 216.312668 299.544688 426.047205 618.132585 946.708783
2025-04-13 107.422709 146.231403 200.947747 286.311492 421.147889 635.306923 1022.395395
2025-04-20 102.503359 142.858634 201.534616 296.436814 452.993936 714.818411 1219.646122
2025-04-27 98.772291 140.719562 203.501922 308.594228 489.397655 807.526720 1462.188699
2025-05-04 92.892007 134.732625 198.857685 309.295469 506.114230 867.765941 1655.501059
2025-05-11 85.966023 126.517405 189.883468 301.608483 506.671630 897.562675 1791.784570
2025-05-18 80.184732 119.632456 182.409686 295.593458 509.284347 931.407126 1945.039857
2025-05-25 77.457418 117.402592 182.333086 302.497794 537.080868 1020.729672 2253.058262
2025-06-01 73.588730 113.118234 178.602965 302.685686 552.423013 1088.123238 2531.778821
2025-06-08 69.102158 107.498957 172.145025 297.149774 555.503201 1129.350816 2755.567888
2025-06-15 66.064752 104.097211 169.253121 298.042876 572.047984 1204.618613 3101.932199
2025-06-22 62.291595 99.168200 163.237959 292.166184 573.075645 1242.742823 3350.253013
2025-06-29 59.482983 95.733371 159.660593 290.781618 583.887272 1307.493342 3709.468584
2025-07-06 55.359699 89.727709 150.924859 278.021734 566.966083 1297.074217 3809.499053
2025-07-13 54.493004 89.484411 152.922819 287.785340 604.301304 1440.362522 4526.126407
2025-07-20 53.885796 89.659751 155.708529 299.504712 648.258531 1613.332772 5453.960118
2025-07-27 52.010593 87.376691 153.550967 300.180564 664.640554 1709.343004 6117.017780
2025-08-03 49.365560 83.508252 148.011058 292.771161 659.080597 1736.703086 6487.033025
2025-08-10 47.072776 80.186440 143.356383 286.972221 657.089498 1775.446518 6936.944837